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st.statistics – Deciding the starting x interval of PMF and CDF of a fair Coin why start at 0?

The Question:

Let us flip a fair coin consecutively according to the following rule: You continue to toss the coin until you get your first head. Denote by X the number of flipping you need for getting your first head.

(1) Specify the sample space Ω.

(2) Find the probability mass function fX(x) of the random variable X.

(3) Find the probability that you need at most 3 tossings.

I was working on this practice problem and I am stuck on a certain concepts.

for the first one wouldn’t it be a infinite sample space as we could have {T^n H}

I put this Ω = {H,T^n H} I think this is right.

To Start I decided that P(X=x) = P(H) * (1-P(H)^x where x = 1 2 … I thought this makes sense but my friend told me that it should be x = 0 1 2 …. and I am very confuse. Since X is the number of flips til we hit a head then wouldn’t the probability of hitting head be 0 when x = 0? Someone explain please!

For number three its using the CDF which

F(3) =

⠀3

⠀⎲ 1/2 * (1-1/2)^3 which should yield my answer of P(X<=3).

⠀⎳

𝑖=𝟷

Let me know if these are right? I think these makes sense except the starting x value.

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Why is my warforged Forge Domain cleric starting with too much HP?

I created a Warforged Cleric of the Forge Domain using the official D&D Beyond tool. It came out with 15 HP at level 1. Where did the extra 4 HP come from? I have a Constitution score of 17 (a +3 modifier), so it should be 8+3=11, right?

I also re-made the character using the Fight Club iOS app, and that app shows the character as having 11 HP.

What am I missing?

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